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INT Португалия - Лига 3 · Final ·

ФК Мафра vs ГД Витория де Серначе

Prediction review

Хозяева form
Final score5–0Прогноз 1–1
Гости form
Победа хозяев53%
Ничья27%
Победа гостей20%
Market-based forecastПобеда хозяевTier B · 53% selection probability
Prediction Угадано
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев53% selection probability
Projected score1–1ФК МафраГД Витория де Серначе
Expected goals2.30Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше59% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Больше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
53% / 27% / 20%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев53%1.89
Derived from 1X2 · excludes ГД Витория де Серначе win (20%)Двойной шанс1X80%1.25
Больше 41% · Меньше 59%Goals 2.5Меньше59%1.69
Да 46% · Нет 54%Обе забьютНет54%1.85
2.30 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–1
9.7 expected match cornersУгловыеБольше 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.1%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimНет
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
ФК Мафра win53%1.891.6554.6%
Ничья27%3.703.4026.5%
ГД Витория де Серначе win20%5.004.7519%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

ФК Мафра1.43

Хозяева share of expected goals 62.2%

Total expected goals2.30Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Больше 41% · Меньше 59%

ГД Витория де Серначе0.87

Гости share of expected goals 37.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 46% · Нет 54%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

ФК Мафра

0.80pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Баллы4

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 4/5

Гости-context · form sequence

ГД Витория де Серначе

0.00pts / match
Сыграно0Wins0Drawn0Losses0Баллы0

SignalНет recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
53%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
20%
4
Points from supplied form
0
1.43
Expected goals
0.87
ФК МафраГД Витория де Серначе
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01ФК Мафра signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ГД Витория де Серначе signalНет recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk47% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

ФК Мафра vs ГД Витория де Серначе FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 1–1 · 53% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

ФК Мафра выигрыш 53%,Ничья 27%,ГД Витория де Серначе выигрыш 20%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.30 · ТБ 2.5 41% · Current selection Меньше