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INT Португалия - Лига 3 · Мач ·

Мафра vs Витория де Серначе

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score1–12.30 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина53%
Равен27%
Победа за госта20%
Market-based forecastПобеда за домакинаTier B · 53% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина53% selection probability
Projected score1–1МафраВитория де Серначе
Expected goals2.30Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Под59% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатНе54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Над 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
53% / 27% / 20%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина53%1.89
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Витория де Серначе win (20%)Двоен шанс1X80%1.25
Над 41% · Под 59%Goals 2.5Под59%1.69
Да 46% · Не 54%И двата отбора да отбележатНе54%1.85
2.30 total expected goalsТочен резултат1–1
9.7 expected match cornersКорнериНад 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.1%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimНяма
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Мафра win53%1.891.6554.6%
Равен27%3.703.4026.5%
Витория де Серначе win20%5.004.7519%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Мафра1.43

Домакин share of expected goals 62.2%

Total expected goals2.30Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Над 41% · Под 59%

Витория де Серначе0.87

Гост share of expected goals 37.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 46% · Не 54%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Мафра

0.80pts / match
Изиграни5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Точки4

SignalДомакин matches over 2.5: 4/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Витория де Серначе

0.00pts / match
Изиграни0Wins0Drawn0Losses0Точки0

SignalНе recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
53%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
20%
4
Points from supplied form
0
1.43
Expected goals
0.87
МафраВитория де Серначе
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Мафра signalДомакин matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Витория де Серначе signalНе recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk47% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Мафра vs Витория де Серначе FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 1–1 · 53% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Мафра печеливш 53%,Равен 27%,Витория де Серначе печеливш 20%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.30 · Над 2.5 41% · Current selection Под