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TijdzoneAsia/Shanghai
Nederlands
INT Portugal - Liga 3 · Wedstrijd ·

CD Mafra vs GD Vitoria de Sernache

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score1–12.30 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst53%
Gelijkspel27%
Uitwinst20%
Market-based forecastThuiswinstTier B · 53% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst53% selection probability
Projected score1–1CD MafraGD Vitoria de Sernache
Expected goals2.30Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Onder59% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenNee54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
53% / 27% / 20%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst53%1.89
Derived from 1X2 · excludes GD Vitoria de Sernache win (20%)Dubbele Kans1X80%1.25
Boven 41% · Onder 59%Goals 2.5Onder59%1.69
Ja 46% · Nee 54%Beide teams scorenNee54%1.85
2.30 total expected goalsExacte score1–1
9.7 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.1%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimGeen
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
CD Mafra win53%1.891.6554.6%
Gelijkspel27%3.703.4026.5%
GD Vitoria de Sernache win20%5.004.7519%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

CD Mafra1.43

Thuis share of expected goals 62.2%

Total expected goals2.30Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Boven 41% · Onder 59%

GD Vitoria de Sernache0.87

Uit share of expected goals 37.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 46% · Nee 54%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

CD Mafra

0.80pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punten4

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

GD Vitoria de Sernache

0.00pts / match
Gespeeld0Wins0Drawn0Losses0Punten0

SignalNee recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
53%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
20%
4
Points from supplied form
0
1.43
Expected goals
0.87
CD MafraGD Vitoria de Sernache
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01CD Mafra signalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02GD Vitoria de Sernache signalNee recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk47% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

CD Mafra vs GD Vitoria de Sernache FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 1–1 · 53% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

CD Mafra gewonnen 53%,Gelijkspel 27%,GD Vitoria de Sernache gewonnen 20%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.30 · Boven 2.5 41% · Current selection Onder