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INT Portugal Liga 3 · Fixture ·

CD Mafra vs GD Vitoria de Sernache

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–12.31 expected goals
Away form
Home win51%
Draw27%
Away win22%
Market-based forecastHome winTier B · 51% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win51% selection probability
Projected score1–1CD MafraGD Vitoria de Sernache
Expected goals2.31Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under59% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
51% / 27% / 22%Match resultHome win51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes GD Vitoria de Sernache win (22.3%)Double chance1X77.7%1.29
Over 41% · Under 59%Goals 2.5Under59%1.69
Yes 46% · No 54%Both teams scoreNo54%1.85
2.31 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
9.7 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.0%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
CD Mafra win51%1.961.7352.1%
Draw27%3.703.4026.5%
GD Vitoria de Sernache win22%4.554.2021.4%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

CD Mafra1.40

Home share of expected goals 60.6%

Total expected goals2.31Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 41% · Under 59%

GD Vitoria de Sernache0.91

Away share of expected goals 39.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 46% · No 54%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

CD Mafra

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

GD Vitoria de Sernache

0.00pts / match
Played0Wins0Drawn0Losses0Points0

SignalNo recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
51%
Win probability excluding draw
22%
4
Points from supplied form
0
1.40
Expected goals
0.91
CD MafraGD Vitoria de Sernache
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01CD Mafra signalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02GD Vitoria de Sernache signalNo recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk49% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

CD Mafra vs GD Vitoria de Sernache FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 51% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

CD Mafra win 51%,Draw 27%,GD Vitoria de Sernache win 22%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.31 · Over 2.5 41% · Current selection Under