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INT Portugal - Liga 3 · Partido ·

CD Mafra vs GD Vitória de Sernache

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score1–12.30 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local53%
Empate27%
Victoria visitante20%
Market-based forecastVictoria localTier B · 53% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local53% selection probability
Projected score1–1CD MafraGD Vitória de Sernache
Expected goals2.30Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Menos de59% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcanNo54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Más de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
53% / 27% / 20%Resultado del partidoVictoria local53%1.89
Derived from 1X2 · excludes GD Vitória de Sernache win (20%)Doble Oportunidad1X80%1.25
Más de 41% · Menos de 59%Goals 2.5Menos de59%1.69
Sí 46% · No 54%Ambos equipos marcanNo54%1.85
2.30 total expected goalsMarcador exacto1–1
9.7 expected match cornersCórnersMás de 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.1%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNinguno
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
CD Mafra win53%1.891.6554.6%
Empate27%3.703.4026.5%
GD Vitória de Sernache win20%5.004.7519%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

CD Mafra1.43

Local share of expected goals 62.2%

Total expected goals2.30Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Más de 41% · Menos de 59%

GD Vitória de Sernache0.87

Visitante share of expected goals 37.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 46% · No 54%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

CD Mafra

0.80pts / match
Jugados5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Puntos4

SignalLocal matches over 2.5: 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

GD Vitória de Sernache

0.00pts / match
Jugados0Wins0Drawn0Losses0Puntos0

SignalNo recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
53%
Ganado probability excluding draw
20%
4
Points from supplied form
0
1.43
Expected goals
0.87
CD MafraGD Vitória de Sernache
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01CD Mafra signalLocal matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02GD Vitória de Sernache signalNo recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk47% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

CD Mafra vs GD Vitória de Sernache FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 1–1 · 53% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

CD Mafra ganada 53%,Empate 27%,GD Vitória de Sernache ganada 20%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.30 · Más de 2.5 41% · Current selection Menos de