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ISL Iceland 1 Deild · Final ·

Afturelding vs Grindavik

Prediction review

Hemma form
Final score4–1Prognos 3–1
Borta form
Hemmaseger68%
Oavgjort18%
Bortaseger13%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 68% selection probability
Prediction Vunnen
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger68% selection probability
Projected score3–1AftureldingGrindavik
Expected goals4.03Öppna match profile
Goals 2.5Över77% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa58% for the selected side
Expected corners12.7Över 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
68% / 18% / 13%MatchresultatHemmaseger68%1.47
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Grindavik win (13.2%)Dubbelchans1X86.8%1.15
Över 77% · Under 23%Goals 2.5Över77%1.30
Ja 58% · Nej 42%Båda lagen gör målJa58%1.72
4.03 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat3–1
12.7 expected match cornersHörnorÖver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.6%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.9 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Afturelding win68%1.471.3367.4%+0.6 pp
Oavgjort18%5.564.7518.9%-0.9 pp
Grindavik win13%7.696.5013.8%-0.8 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Afturelding3.10

Hemma share of expected goals 76.9%

Total expected goals4.03Öppna

Dedicated goals model: Över 77% · Under 23%

Grindavik0.93

Borta share of expected goals 23.1%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitJa 58% · Nej 42%Match profileÖppna
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Afturelding

2.40pts / match
Spelade5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Poäng12

SignalHemma unbeaten 4/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Grindavik

1.40pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Poäng7

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
68%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
13%
12
Points from supplied form
7
3.10
Expected goals
0.93
AftureldingGrindavik
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Afturelding signalHemma unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Grindavik signalHemma matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk32% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 18%.

Match questions

Afturelding vs Grindavik FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 3–1 · 68% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Afturelding vunnen 68%,Oavgjort 18%,Grindavik vunnen 13%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.03 · Över 2.5 77% · Current selection Över