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ISL Iceland 1 Deild · Round 17 ·

Afturelding vs Grindavik

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score3–14.03 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde68%
Egal18%
Victorie oaspeți13%
Full model forecastVictorie gazdeTier A · 68% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie gazde68% selection probability
Projected score3–1AftureldingGrindavik
Expected goals4.03Deschide match profile
Goals 2.5Peste77% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăDa58% for the selected side
Expected corners12.7Peste 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
68% / 18% / 13%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde68%1.47
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Grindavik win (13.2%)Șansă dublă1X86.8%1.15
Peste 77% · Sub 23%Goals 2.5Peste77%1.30
Da 58% · Nu 42%Ambele echipe marcheazăDa58%1.72
4.03 total expected goalsScor corect3–1
12.7 expected match cornersCornerePeste 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.6%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.9 pp
OutcomePredicțieCotă corectăReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Afturelding win68%1.471.3367.4%+0.6 pp
Egal18%5.564.7518.9%-0.9 pp
Grindavik win13%7.696.5013.8%-0.8 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Afturelding3.10

Gazde share of expected goals 76.9%

Total expected goals4.03Deschide

Dedicated goals model: Peste 77% · Sub 23%

Grindavik0.93

Oaspeți share of expected goals 23.1%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitDa 58% · Nu 42%Match profileDeschide
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

Afturelding

2.40pts / match
Jucate5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Puncte12

SignalGazde unbeaten 4/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Grindavik

1.40pts / match
Jucate5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Puncte7

SignalGazde matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
68%
Câștig probability excluding draw
13%
12
Points from supplied form
7
3.10
Expected goals
0.93
AftureldingGrindavik
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Afturelding signalGazde unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Grindavik signalGazde matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk32% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 18%.

Match questions

Afturelding vs Grindavik FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 3–1 · 68% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Afturelding câștig 68%,Egal 18%,Grindavik câștig 13%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.03 · Peste 2.5 77% · Current selection Peste