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ISL Iceland 1 Deild · Round 17 ·

Afturelding vs Grindavik

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score3–14.03 expected goals
Borte form
Hjemmeseier68%
Uavgjort18%
Borteseier13%
Full model forecastHjemmeseierTier A · 68% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmeseier68% selection probability
Projected score3–1AftureldingGrindavik
Expected goals4.03Åpning match profile
Goals 2.5Over77% for the selected side
Begge lag scorerJa58% for the selected side
Expected corners12.7Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSannsynlighetRettferdig odds
68% / 18% / 13%KampresultatHjemmeseier68%1.47
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Grindavik win (13.2%)Dobbel sjanse1X86.8%1.15
Over 77% · Under 23%Goals 2.5Over77%1.30
Ja 58% · Nei 42%Begge lag scorerJa58%1.72
4.03 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat3–1
12.7 expected match cornersHjørnesparkOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.6%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.9 pp
OutcomePrognoseRettferdig oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Afturelding win68%1.471.3367.4%+0.6 pp
Uavgjort18%5.564.7518.9%-0.9 pp
Grindavik win13%7.696.5013.8%-0.8 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Afturelding3.10

Hjemme share of expected goals 76.9%

Total expected goals4.03Åpning

Dedicated goals model: Over 77% · Under 23%

Grindavik0.93

Borte share of expected goals 23.1%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitJa 58% · Nei 42%Match profileÅpning
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Afturelding

2.40pts / match
Spilt5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Poeng12

SignalHjemme unbeaten 4/5

Borte-context · form sequence

Grindavik

1.40pts / match
Spilt5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Poeng7

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
68%
Vunnet probability excluding draw
13%
12
Points from supplied form
7
3.10
Expected goals
0.93
AftureldingGrindavik
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Afturelding signalHjemme unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Grindavik signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk32% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uavgjort probability alone is 18%.

Match questions

Afturelding vs Grindavik FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmeseier · Projected score 3–1 · 68% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Afturelding vunnet 68%,Uavgjort 18%,Grindavik vunnet 13%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.03 · Over 2.5 77% · Current selection Over