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ISL Iceland 1 Deild · Round 17 ·

Afturelding vs Grindavik

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Kodu form
Projected score3–14.03 expected goals
Võõras form
Koduvõit68%
Viik18%
Võõrsilvõit13%
Full model forecastKoduvõitTier A · 68% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callKoduvõit68% selection probability
Projected score3–1AftureldingGrindavik
Expected goals4.03Avamine match profile
Goals 2.5Üle77% for the selected side
Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaJah58% for the selected side
Expected corners12.7Üle 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValikTõenäosusÕiglane koefitsient
68% / 18% / 13%Mängu tulemusKoduvõit68%1.47
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Grindavik win (13.2%)Topeltvõimalus1X86.8%1.15
Üle 77% · Alla 23%Goals 2.5Üle77%1.30
Jah 58% · Ei 42%Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaJah58%1.72
4.03 total expected goalsTäpne skoor3–1
12.7 expected match cornersNurgalöögidÜle 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.6%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.9 pp
OutcomeEnnustusÕiglane koefitsientReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Afturelding win68%1.471.3367.4%+0.6 pp
Viik18%5.564.7518.9%-0.9 pp
Grindavik win13%7.696.5013.8%-0.8 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Afturelding3.10

Kodu share of expected goals 76.9%

Total expected goals4.03Avamine

Dedicated goals model: Üle 77% · Alla 23%

Grindavik0.93

Võõras share of expected goals 23.1%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitJah 58% · Ei 42%Match profileAvamine
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Kodu-context · form sequence

Afturelding

2.40pts / match
Mängitud5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Punktid12

SignalKodu unbeaten 4/5

Võõras-context · form sequence

Grindavik

1.40pts / match
Mängitud5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punktid7

SignalKodu matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
68%
Võit probability excluding draw
13%
12
Points from supplied form
7
3.10
Expected goals
0.93
AftureldingGrindavik
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Afturelding signalKodu unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Grindavik signalKodu matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk32% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Viik probability alone is 18%.

Match questions

Afturelding vs Grindavik FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Koduvõit · Projected score 3–1 · 68% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Afturelding võit 68%,Viik 18%,Grindavik võit 13%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.03 · Üle 2.5 77% · Current selection Üle