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ISL Iceland 1 Deild · Round 17 ·

Afturelding vs Grindavik

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score3–14.03 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина67%
Равен19%
Победа за госта14%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 67% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина67% selection probability
Projected score3–1AftureldingGrindavik
Expected goals4.03Откриване match profile
Goals 2.5Над77% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатДа58% for the selected side
Expected corners12.7Над 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
67% / 19% / 14%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина67%1.49
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Grindavik win (13.7%)Двоен шанс1X86.3%1.16
Над 77% · Под 23%Goals 2.5Над77%1.30
Да 58% · Не 42%И двата отбора да отбележатДа58%1.72
4.03 total expected goalsТочен резултат3–1
12.7 expected match cornersКорнериНад 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.8%Largest probability gapAfturelding winDifference+1.2 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Afturelding win67%1.491.3665.8%+1.2 pp
Равен19%5.264.5019.9%-0.9 pp
Grindavik win14%7.146.2514.3%-0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Afturelding3.10

Домакин share of expected goals 76.9%

Total expected goals4.03Откриване

Dedicated goals model: Над 77% · Под 23%

Grindavik0.93

Гост share of expected goals 23.1%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitДа 58% · Не 42%Match profileОткриване
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Afturelding

2.40pts / match
Изиграни5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Точки12

SignalДомакин unbeaten 4/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Grindavik

1.40pts / match
Изиграни5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Точки7

SignalДомакин matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
67%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
14%
12
Points from supplied form
7
3.10
Expected goals
0.93
AftureldingGrindavik
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Afturelding signalДомакин unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Grindavik signalДомакин matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk33% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 19%.

Match questions

Afturelding vs Grindavik FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 3–1 · 67% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Afturelding печеливш 67%,Равен 19%,Grindavik печеливш 14%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.03 · Над 2.5 77% · Current selection Над