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ISL 冰島1 Deild · Round 17 ·

阿費查爾丁 vs 格連戴域克

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

主隊 form
Projected score3–14.03 expected goals
客隊 form
主勝68%
18%
客勝13%
Full model forecast主勝Tier A · 68% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary call主勝68% selection probability
Projected score3–1阿費查爾丁格連戴域克
Expected goals4.03初盤 match profile
Goals 2.577% for the selected side
雙方進球58% for the selected side
Expected corners12.7大 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market投注機率公平賠率
68% / 18% / 13%比賽結果主勝68%1.47
Derived from 1X2 · excludes 格連戴域克 win (13.2%)雙重機會1X86.8%1.15
大 77% · 小 23%Goals 2.577%1.30
是 58% · 否 42%雙方進球58%1.72
4.03 total expected goals正確比分3–1
12.7 expected match corners角球大 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.6%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.9 pp
Outcome預測公平賠率Reference oddsNormalized marketDifference
阿費查爾丁 win68%1.471.3367.4%+0.6 pp
18%5.564.7518.9%-0.9 pp
格連戴域克 win13%7.696.5013.8%-0.8 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

阿費查爾丁3.10

主隊 share of expected goals 76.9%

Total expected goals4.03初盤

Dedicated goals model: 77% · 23%

格連戴域克0.93

客隊 share of expected goals 23.1%

Projected score3–1BTTS split 58% · 42%Match profile初盤
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

主隊-context · form sequence

阿費查爾丁

2.40pts / match
5Wins4Drawn0Losses1積分12

Signal主隊 unbeaten 4/5

客隊-context · form sequence

格連戴域克

1.40pts / match
5Wins2Drawn1Losses2積分7

Signal主隊 matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
68%
贏 probability excluding draw
13%
12
Points from supplied form
7
3.10
Expected goals
0.93
阿費查爾丁格連戴域克
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01阿費查爾丁 signal主隊 unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02格連戴域克 signal主隊 matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk32% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 平 probability alone is 18%.

Match questions

阿費查爾丁 vs 格連戴域克 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: 主勝 · Projected score 3–1 · 68% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

阿費查爾丁 68%, 18%,格連戴域克 13%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.03 · 大2.5 77% · Current selection