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ISL Iceland 1 Deild · Match ·

Leiknir Reykjavik vs Fylkir Reykjavik

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score1–22.68 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger16%
Oavgjort22%
Bortaseger62%
Full model forecastBortasegerTier A · 62% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callBortaseger62% selection probability
Projected score1–2Leiknir ReykjavikFylkir Reykjavik
Expected goals2.68Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Över50% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa54% for the selected side
Expected corners11.8Över 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
16% / 22% / 62%MatchresultatBortaseger62%1.61
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Leiknir Reykjavik win (16%)DubbelchansX284%1.19
Över 50% · Under 50%Goals 2.5Över50%2.00
Ja 54% · Nej 46%Båda lagen gör målJa54%1.85
2.68 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–2
11.8 expected match cornersHörnorÖver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin9.9%Largest probability gapFylkir Reykjavik winDifference-1.2 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Leiknir Reykjavik win16%6.256.0015.2%+0.8 pp
Oavgjort22%4.554.2021.7%+0.3 pp
Fylkir Reykjavik win62%1.611.4463.2%-1.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Leiknir Reykjavik1.15

Hemma share of expected goals 42.9%

Total expected goals2.68Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Över 50% · Under 50%

Fylkir Reykjavik1.53

Borta share of expected goals 57.1%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitJa 54% · Nej 46%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Leiknir Reykjavik

0.20pts / match
Spelade5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Poäng1

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Fylkir Reykjavik

2.40pts / match
Spelade5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Poäng12

SignalHemma failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
16%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
62%
1
Points from supplied form
12
1.15
Expected goals
1.53
Leiknir ReykjavikFylkir Reykjavik
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Leiknir Reykjavik signalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Fylkir Reykjavik signalHemma failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk38% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Leiknir Reykjavik vs Fylkir Reykjavik FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Bortaseger · Projected score 1–2 · 62% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Leiknir Reykjavik vunnen 16%,Oavgjort 22%,Fylkir Reykjavik vunnen 62%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.68 · Över 2.5 50% · Current selection Över