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ISL Islande - 1.Deild · Match ·

Leiknir Reykjavik vs Fylkir Reykjavik

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score1–22.68 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile16%
Nul22%
Victoire à l’extérieur62%
Full model forecastVictoire à l’extérieurTier A · 62% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à l’extérieur62% selection probability
Projected score1–2Leiknir ReykjavikFylkir Reykjavik
Expected goals2.68Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de50% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui54% for the selected side
Expected corners11.8Plus de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
16% / 22% / 62%Résultat du matchVictoire à l’extérieur62%1.61
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Leiknir Reykjavik win (16%)Double chanceX284%1.19
Plus de 50% · Moins de 50%Goals 2.5Plus de50%2.00
Oui 54% · Non 46%Les deux équipes marquentOui54%1.85
2.68 total expected goalsScore exact1–2
11.8 expected match cornersCornersPlus de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin9.9%Largest probability gapFylkir Reykjavik winDifference-1.2 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Leiknir Reykjavik win16%6.256.0015.2%+0.8 pp
Nul22%4.554.2021.7%+0.3 pp
Fylkir Reykjavik win62%1.611.4463.2%-1.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Leiknir Reykjavik1.15

Domicile share of expected goals 42.9%

Total expected goals2.68Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 50% · Moins de 50%

Fylkir Reykjavik1.53

Extérieur share of expected goals 57.1%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitOui 54% · Non 46%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Leiknir Reykjavik

0.20pts / match
Joués5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Points1

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Fylkir Reykjavik

2.40pts / match
Joués5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Points12

SignalDomicile failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
16%
Gagné probability excluding draw
62%
1
Points from supplied form
12
1.15
Expected goals
1.53
Leiknir ReykjavikFylkir Reykjavik
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Leiknir Reykjavik signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Fylkir Reykjavik signalDomicile failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk38% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Leiknir Reykjavik vs Fylkir Reykjavik FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à l’extérieur · Projected score 1–2 · 62% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Leiknir Reykjavik victoire 16%,Nul 22%,Fylkir Reykjavik victoire 62%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.68 · Plus de 2.5 50% · Current selection Plus de