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ISL Iceland 1 Deild · Fixture ·

Leiknir Reykjavik vs Fylkir Reykjavik

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–22.68 expected goals
Away form
Home win16%
Draw22%
Away win62%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 62% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win62% selection probability
Projected score1–2Leiknir ReykjavikFylkir Reykjavik
Expected goals2.68Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over50% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes54% for the selected side
Expected corners11.8Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
16% / 22% / 62%Match resultAway win62%1.61
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Leiknir Reykjavik win (16%)Double chanceX284%1.19
Over 50% · Under 50%Goals 2.5Over50%2.00
Yes 54% · No 46%Both teams scoreYes54%1.85
2.68 total expected goalsCorrect score1–2
11.8 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin9.9%Largest probability gapFylkir Reykjavik winDifference-1.2 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Leiknir Reykjavik win16%6.256.0015.2%+0.8 pp
Draw22%4.554.2021.7%+0.3 pp
Fylkir Reykjavik win62%1.611.4463.2%-1.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Leiknir Reykjavik1.15

Home share of expected goals 42.9%

Total expected goals2.68Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 50% · Under 50%

Fylkir Reykjavik1.53

Away share of expected goals 57.1%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitYes 54% · No 46%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Leiknir Reykjavik

0.20pts / match
Played5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Points1

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

Fylkir Reykjavik

2.40pts / match
Played5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Points12

SignalHome failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
16%
Win probability excluding draw
62%
1
Points from supplied form
12
1.15
Expected goals
1.53
Leiknir ReykjavikFylkir Reykjavik
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Leiknir Reykjavik signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Fylkir Reykjavik signalHome failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk38% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Leiknir Reykjavik vs Fylkir Reykjavik FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–2 · 62% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Leiknir Reykjavik win 16%,Draw 22%,Fylkir Reykjavik win 62%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.68 · Over 2.5 50% · Current selection Over