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ITA Taliansko - Serie A · Round 1 ·

Rím vs Fiorentina

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domáci form
Projected score2–12.50 expected goals
Hostia form
Výhra domácich57%
Remíza24%
Výhra hostí19%
Full model forecastVýhra domácichTier A · 57% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra domácich57% selection probability
Projected score2–1RímFiorentina
Expected goals2.50Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Menej54% for the selected side
Oba tímy skórujúNie56% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Menej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýberPravdepodobnosťFérový kurz
57% / 24% / 19%Výsledok zápasuVýhra domácich57%1.75
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Fiorentina win (18.6%)Dvojitá šanca1X81.4%1.23
Viac 46% · Menej 54%Goals 2.5Menej54%1.85
Áno 44% · Nie 56%Oba tímy skórujúNie56%1.79
2.50 total expected goalsPresné skóre2–1
8.7 expected match cornersRohyMenej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin5.5%Largest probability gapRím winDifference+0.3 pp
OutcomePredpoveďFérový kurzReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Rím win57%1.751.6756.7%+0.3 pp
Remíza24%4.173.9024.3%-0.3 pp
Fiorentina win19%5.265.0019%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Rím1.76

Domáci share of expected goals 70.4%

Total expected goals2.50Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Viac 46% · Menej 54%

Fiorentina0.74

Hostia share of expected goals 29.6%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitÁno 44% · Nie 56%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domáci-context · form sequence

Rím

3.00pts / match
Odohrané5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Body15

SignalDomáci unbeaten 5/5

Hostia-context · form sequence

Fiorentina

1.20pts / match
Odohrané5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Body6

SignalDomáci clean sheets: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
57%
Výhra probability excluding draw
19%
15
Points from supplied form
6
1.76
Expected goals
0.74
RímFiorentina
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Rím signalDomáci unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Fiorentina signalDomáci clean sheets: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk43% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Rím vs Fiorentina FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra domácich · Projected score 2–1 · 57% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Rím výhra 57%,Remíza 24%,Fiorentina výhra 19%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.50 · Viac 2.5 46% · Current selection Menej