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ITA Olaszország - Serie A · Round 1 ·

Roma vs Fiorentina

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hazai form
Projected score2–12.50 expected goals
Vendég form
Hazai győzelem57%
Döntetlen24%
Vendég győzelem19%
Full model forecastHazai győzelemTier A · 57% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHazai győzelem57% selection probability
Projected score2–1RomaFiorentina
Expected goals2.50Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Alatt54% for the selected side
Mindkét csapat szerez góltNem56% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Alatt 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVálasztásValószínűségValós odds
57% / 24% / 19%Mérkőzés eredményeHazai győzelem57%1.75
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Fiorentina win (18.6%)Dupla esély1X81.4%1.23
Felett 46% · Alatt 54%Goals 2.5Alatt54%1.85
Igen 44% · Nem 56%Mindkét csapat szerez góltNem56%1.79
2.50 total expected goalsPontos eredmény2–1
8.7 expected match cornersSzögletekAlatt 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin5.5%Largest probability gapRoma winDifference+0.3 pp
OutcomeElőrejelzésValós oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Roma win57%1.751.6756.7%+0.3 pp
Döntetlen24%4.173.9024.3%-0.3 pp
Fiorentina win19%5.265.0019%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Roma1.76

Hazai share of expected goals 70.4%

Total expected goals2.50Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Felett 46% · Alatt 54%

Fiorentina0.74

Vendég share of expected goals 29.6%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitIgen 44% · Nem 56%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hazai-context · form sequence

Roma

3.00pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Pontok15

SignalHazai unbeaten 5/5

Vendég-context · form sequence

Fiorentina

1.20pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Pontok6

SignalHazai clean sheets: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
57%
Nyert probability excluding draw
19%
15
Points from supplied form
6
1.76
Expected goals
0.74
RomaFiorentina
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Roma signalHazai unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Fiorentina signalHazai clean sheets: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk43% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Döntetlen probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Roma vs Fiorentina FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hazai győzelem · Projected score 2–1 · 57% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Roma nyer 57%,Döntetlen 24%,Fiorentina nyer 19%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.50 · 2.5 felett 46% · Current selection Alatt