Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
57% / 24% / 19%Match resultHome win57%1.75
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Fiorentina win (18.6%)Double chance1X81.4%1.23
Over 46% · Under 54%Goals 2.5Under54%1.85
Yes 44% · No 56%Both teams scoreNo56%1.79
2.50 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1——
8.7 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin5.5%Largest probability gapRoma winDifference+0.3 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Roma win57%1.751.6756.7%+0.3 pp
Draw24%4.173.9024.3%-0.3 pp
Fiorentina win19%5.265.0019%0.0 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 70.4%
Total expected goals2.50Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Over 46% · Under 54%
Away share of expected goals 29.6%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 44% · No 56%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
3.00pts / matchRoma
WWWWW
Played5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Points15
SignalHome unbeaten 5/5
Away-context · form sequence
1.20pts / matchFiorentina
DWDLD
Played5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Points6
SignalHome clean sheets: 4/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
57%
Win probability excluding draw
19%15
Points from supplied form
61.76
Expected goals
0.74RomaFiorentina
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 24%.
Match questions
Roma vs Fiorentina FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 57% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Roma win 57%，Draw 24%，Fiorentina win 19%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.50 · Over 2.5 46% · Current selection Under。