Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
37% / 31% / 32%Match resultHome win37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (30.9%)Double chance1269.1%1.45
Over 39% · Under 61%Goals 2.5Under61%1.64
Yes 45% · No 55%Both teams scoreNo55%1.82
2.23 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1——
8.3 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Bologna win37%2.70
Draw31%3.23
Lazio win32%3.13
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 53.4%
Total expected goals2.23Low-scoring
Dedicated goals model: Over 39% · Under 61%
Away share of expected goals 46.6%
Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 45% · No 55%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
1.60pts / matchBologna
DWWDL
Played5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8
SignalHome unbeaten 4/5
Away-context · form sequence
1.40pts / matchLazio
WLLWD
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7
SignalHome clean sheets: 2/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
37%
Win probability excluding draw
32%8
Points from supplied form
71.19
Expected goals
1.04BolognaLazio
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 31%.
Match questions
Bologna vs Lazio FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Bologna win 37%，Draw 31%，Lazio win 32%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.23 · Over 2.5 39% · Current selection Under。