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ITA Италия - Серия А · Round 1 ·

Болонья vs Лацио

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score1–12.23 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев37%
Ничья31%
Победа гостей32%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев37% selection probability
Projected score1–1БолоньяЛацио
Expected goals2.23Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше61% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет54% for the selected side
Expected corners8.3Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
37% / 31% / 32%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (30.9%)Двойной шанс1269.1%1.45
Больше 39% · Меньше 61%Goals 2.5Меньше61%1.64
Да 46% · Нет 54%Обе забьютНет54%1.85
2.23 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–1
8.3 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Нет snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедливый коэффициент
Болонья win37%2.70
Ничья31%3.23
Лацио win32%3.13

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Болонья1.19

Хозяева share of expected goals 53.4%

Total expected goals2.23Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Больше 39% · Меньше 61%

Лацио1.04

Гости share of expected goals 46.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 46% · Нет 54%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Болонья

1.60pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Баллы8

SignalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Лацио

1.40pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Баллы7

SignalХозяева clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
32%
8
Points from supplied form
7
1.19
Expected goals
1.04
БолоньяЛацио
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Болонья signalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Лацио signalХозяева clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

Болонья vs Лацио FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Болонья выигрыш 37%,Ничья 31%,Лацио выигрыш 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.23 · ТБ 2.5 39% · Current selection Меньше