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ITA 意大利甲級聯賽 · Round 1 ·

博洛尼亞 vs 拉素

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

主隊 form
Projected score1–12.23 expected goals
客隊 form
主勝37%
31%
客勝32%
Full model forecast主勝Tier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary call主勝37% selection probability
Projected score1–1博洛尼亞拉素
Expected goals2.23Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.561% for the selected side
雙方進球54% for the selected side
Expected corners8.3小 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market投注機率公平賠率
37% / 31% / 32%比賽結果主勝37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (31%)雙重機會1269%1.45
大 39% · 小 61%Goals 2.561%1.64
是 46% · 否 54%雙方進球54%1.85
2.23 total expected goals正確比分1–1
8.3 expected match corners角球小 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

否 snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probability公平賠率
博洛尼亞 win37%2.70
31%3.23
拉素 win32%3.13

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

博洛尼亞1.19

主隊 share of expected goals 53.4%

Total expected goals2.23Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: 39% · 61%

拉素1.04

客隊 share of expected goals 46.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 46% · 54%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

主隊-context · form sequence

博洛尼亞

1.60pts / match
5Wins2Drawn2Losses1積分8

Signal主隊 unbeaten 4/5

客隊-context · form sequence

拉素

1.40pts / match
5Wins2Drawn1Losses2積分7

Signal主隊 clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
贏 probability excluding draw
32%
8
Points from supplied form
7
1.19
Expected goals
1.04
博洛尼亞拉素
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01博洛尼亞 signal主隊 unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02拉素 signal主隊 clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 平 probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

博洛尼亞 vs 拉素 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: 主勝 · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

博洛尼亞 37%, 31%,拉素 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.23 · 大2.5 39% · Current selection