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ITA Itália - Serie A · Round 1 ·

Bolonha vs Lazio

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Mandante form
Projected score1–12.23 expected goals
Visitante form
Vitória da casa37%
Empate31%
Vitória visitante32%
Full model forecastVitória da casaTier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória da casa37% selection probability
Projected score1–1BolonhaLazio
Expected goals2.23Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Abaixo61% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamNão54% for the selected side
Expected corners8.3Abaixo 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
37% / 31% / 32%Resultado da partidaVitória da casa37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (31%)Dupla Chance1269%1.45
Acima 39% · Abaixo 61%Goals 2.5Abaixo61%1.64
Sim 46% · Não 54%Ambas as equipes marcamNão54%1.85
2.23 total expected goalsPlacar exato1–1
8.3 expected match cornersEscanteiosAbaixo 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Não snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityOdds justas
Bolonha win37%2.70
Empate31%3.23
Lazio win32%3.13

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Bolonha1.19

Mandante share of expected goals 53.4%

Total expected goals2.23Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Acima 39% · Abaixo 61%

Lazio1.04

Visitante share of expected goals 46.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitSim 46% · Não 54%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

Bolonha

1.60pts / match
Jogos5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Pontos8

SignalMandante unbeaten 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Lazio

1.40pts / match
Jogos5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Pontos7

SignalMandante clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
32%
8
Points from supplied form
7
1.19
Expected goals
1.04
BolonhaLazio
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Bolonha signalMandante unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Lazio signalMandante clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

Bolonha vs Lazio FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória da casa · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Bolonha ganhou 37%,Empate 31%,Lazio ganhou 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.23 · Acima 2.5 39% · Current selection Abaixo