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LTU Lithuania 1 Lyga · Матч ·

ФК Миния vs Кауно Жальгирис II

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score3–03.31 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев79%
Ничья12%
Победа гостей9%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 79% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев79% selection probability
Projected score3–0ФК МинияКауно Жальгирис II
Expected goals3.31Открытие match profile
Goals 2.5Больше64% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет64% for the selected side
Expected corners10.5Больше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
79% / 12% / 9%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев79%1.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Кауно Жальгирис II win (9%)Двойной шанс1X91%1.10
Больше 64% · Меньше 36%Goals 2.5Больше64%1.56
Да 36% · Нет 64%Обе забьютНет64%1.56
3.31 total expected goalsТочный счёт3–0
10.5 expected match cornersУгловыеБольше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.6%Largest probability gapФК Миния winDifference+1.0 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
ФК Миния win79%1.271.1878%+1.0 pp
Ничья12%8.337.5012.3%-0.3 pp
Кауно Жальгирис II win9%11.119.509.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

ФК Миния2.83

Хозяева share of expected goals 85.5%

Total expected goals3.31Открытие

Dedicated goals model: Больше 64% · Меньше 36%

Кауно Жальгирис II0.48

Гости share of expected goals 14.5%

Projected score3–0BTTS splitДа 36% · Нет 64%Match profileОткрытие
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

ФК Миния

2.40pts / match
Сыграно5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Баллы12

SignalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Кауно Жальгирис II

1.20pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Баллы6

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
79%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
9%
12
Points from supplied form
6
2.83
Expected goals
0.48
ФК МинияКауно Жальгирис II
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01ФК Миния signalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Кауно Жальгирис II signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk21% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 12%.

Match questions

ФК Миния vs Кауно Жальгирис II FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 3–0 · 79% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

ФК Миния выигрыш 79%,Ничья 12%,Кауно Жальгирис II выигрыш 9%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.31 · ТБ 2.5 64% · Current selection Больше