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LTU Lithuania 1 Lyga · Match ·

FK Minija vs FK Kauno Zalgiris II

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score3–03.31 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger79%
Oavgjort12%
Bortaseger9%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 79% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger79% selection probability
Projected score3–0FK MinijaFK Kauno Zalgiris II
Expected goals3.31Öppna match profile
Goals 2.5Över64% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målNej64% for the selected side
Expected corners10.5Över 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
79% / 12% / 9%MatchresultatHemmaseger79%1.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FK Kauno Zalgiris II win (9%)Dubbelchans1X91%1.10
Över 64% · Under 36%Goals 2.5Över64%1.56
Ja 36% · Nej 64%Båda lagen gör målNej64%1.56
3.31 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat3–0
10.5 expected match cornersHörnorÖver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.6%Largest probability gapFK Minija winDifference+1.0 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FK Minija win79%1.271.1878%+1.0 pp
Oavgjort12%8.337.5012.3%-0.3 pp
FK Kauno Zalgiris II win9%11.119.509.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FK Minija2.83

Hemma share of expected goals 85.5%

Total expected goals3.31Öppna

Dedicated goals model: Över 64% · Under 36%

FK Kauno Zalgiris II0.48

Borta share of expected goals 14.5%

Projected score3–0BTTS splitJa 36% · Nej 64%Match profileÖppna
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

FK Minija

2.40pts / match
Spelade5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Poäng12

SignalHemma unbeaten 4/5

Borta-context · form sequence

FK Kauno Zalgiris II

1.20pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Poäng6

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
79%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
9%
12
Points from supplied form
6
2.83
Expected goals
0.48
FK MinijaFK Kauno Zalgiris II
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FK Minija signalHemma unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FK Kauno Zalgiris II signalHemma matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk21% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 12%.

Match questions

FK Minija vs FK Kauno Zalgiris II FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 3–0 · 79% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FK Minija vunnen 79%,Oavgjort 12%,FK Kauno Zalgiris II vunnen 9%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.31 · Över 2.5 64% · Current selection Över