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LTU Lithuania 1 Lyga · Partita ·

FK Minija vs FK Kauno Zalgiris II

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score3–03.30 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa79%
Pareggio12%
Vittoria ospite9%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 79% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa79% selection probability
Projected score3–0FK MinijaFK Kauno Zalgiris II
Expected goals3.30Apertura match profile
Goals 2.5Sopra64% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo64% for the selected side
Expected corners10.5Sopra 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
79% / 12% / 9%Esito partitaVittoria casa79%1.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FK Kauno Zalgiris II win (9%)Doppia Chance1X91%1.10
Sopra 64% · Sotto 36%Goals 2.5Sopra64%1.56
Sì 36% · No 64%Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo64%1.56
3.30 total expected goalsRisultato esatto3–0
10.5 expected match cornersCornerSopra 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.6%Largest probability gapFK Minija winDifference+1.0 pp
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FK Minija win79%1.271.1878%+1.0 pp
Pareggio12%8.337.5012.3%-0.3 pp
FK Kauno Zalgiris II win9%11.119.509.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FK Minija2.82

Casa share of expected goals 85.5%

Total expected goals3.30Apertura

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 64% · Sotto 36%

FK Kauno Zalgiris II0.48

Trasferta share of expected goals 14.5%

Projected score3–0BTTS split 36% · No 64%Match profileApertura
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

FK Minija

2.40pts / match
Giocate5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Punti12

SignalCasa unbeaten 4/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

FK Kauno Zalgiris II

1.20pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punti6

SignalCasa matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
79%
Vinta probability excluding draw
9%
12
Points from supplied form
6
2.82
Expected goals
0.48
FK MinijaFK Kauno Zalgiris II
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FK Minija signalCasa unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FK Kauno Zalgiris II signalCasa matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk21% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 12%.

Match questions

FK Minija vs FK Kauno Zalgiris II FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 3–0 · 79% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FK Minija vinta 79%,Pareggio 12%,FK Kauno Zalgiris II vinta 9%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.30 · Sopra 2.5 64% · Current selection Sopra