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LTU Lithuania 1 Lyga · Mecz ·

FK Minija vs FK Kauno Żalgiris II

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score3–03.30 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy79%
Remis12%
Wygrana gości9%
Full model forecastWygrana gospodarzyTier A · 79% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gospodarzy79% selection probability
Projected score3–0FK MinijaFK Kauno Żalgiris II
Expected goals3.30Otwarcie match profile
Goals 2.5Powyżej64% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląNie64% for the selected side
Expected corners10.5Powyżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
79% / 12% / 9%Wynik meczuWygrana gospodarzy79%1.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FK Kauno Żalgiris II win (9%)Podwójna szansa1X91%1.10
Powyżej 64% · Poniżej 36%Goals 2.5Powyżej64%1.56
Tak 36% · Nie 64%Obie drużyny strzeląNie64%1.56
3.30 total expected goalsDokładny wynik3–0
10.5 expected match cornersRożnePowyżej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.6%Largest probability gapFK Minija winDifference+1.0 pp
OutcomePrognozaUczciwy kursReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FK Minija win79%1.271.1878%+1.0 pp
Remis12%8.337.5012.3%-0.3 pp
FK Kauno Żalgiris II win9%11.119.509.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FK Minija2.82

Gospodarze share of expected goals 85.5%

Total expected goals3.30Otwarcie

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 64% · Poniżej 36%

FK Kauno Żalgiris II0.48

Goście share of expected goals 14.5%

Projected score3–0BTTS splitTak 36% · Nie 64%Match profileOtwarcie
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

FK Minija

2.40pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Punkty12

SignalGospodarze unbeaten 4/5

Goście-context · form sequence

FK Kauno Żalgiris II

1.20pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punkty6

SignalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
79%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
9%
12
Points from supplied form
6
2.82
Expected goals
0.48
FK MinijaFK Kauno Żalgiris II
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FK Minija signalGospodarze unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FK Kauno Żalgiris II signalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk21% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 12%.

Match questions

FK Minija vs FK Kauno Żalgiris II FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gospodarzy · Projected score 3–0 · 79% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FK Minija wygrana 79%,Remis 12%,FK Kauno Żalgiris II wygrana 9%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.30 · Powyżej 2.5 64% · Current selection Powyżej