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LTU Lithuania 1 Lyga · Spiel ·

FK Minija vs FK Kauno Zalgiris II

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score3–03.30 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg79%
Unentschieden12%
Auswärtssieg9%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 79% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg79% selection probability
Projected score3–0FK MinijaFK Kauno Zalgiris II
Expected goals3.30Eröffnung match profile
Goals 2.5Über64% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenNein64% for the selected side
Expected corners10.5Über 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
79% / 12% / 9%SpielergebnisHeimsieg79%1.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FK Kauno Zalgiris II win (9%)Doppelte Chance1X91%1.10
Über 64% · Unter 36%Goals 2.5Über64%1.56
Ja 36% · Nein 64%Beide Teams treffenNein64%1.56
3.30 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis3–0
10.5 expected match cornersEckenÜber 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.6%Largest probability gapFK Minija winDifference+1.0 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FK Minija win79%1.271.1878%+1.0 pp
Unentschieden12%8.337.5012.3%-0.3 pp
FK Kauno Zalgiris II win9%11.119.509.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FK Minija2.82

Heim share of expected goals 85.5%

Total expected goals3.30Eröffnung

Dedicated goals model: Über 64% · Unter 36%

FK Kauno Zalgiris II0.48

Auswärts share of expected goals 14.5%

Projected score3–0BTTS splitJa 36% · Nein 64%Match profileEröffnung
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

FK Minija

2.40pts / match
Gespielt5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Punkte12

SignalHeim unbeaten 4/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

FK Kauno Zalgiris II

1.20pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punkte6

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
79%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
9%
12
Points from supplied form
6
2.82
Expected goals
0.48
FK MinijaFK Kauno Zalgiris II
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FK Minija signalHeim unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FK Kauno Zalgiris II signalHeim matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk21% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 12%.

Match questions

FK Minija vs FK Kauno Zalgiris II FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 3–0 · 79% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FK Minija Gewinn 79%,Unentschieden 12%,FK Kauno Zalgiris II Gewinn 9%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.30 · Über 2.5 64% · Current selection Über