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LTU Lithuania 1 Lyga · Zápas ·

FK Minija vs FK Kauno Žalgiris ll

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domáci form
Projected score3–03.31 expected goals
Hostia form
Výhra domácich79%
Remíza12%
Výhra hostí9%
Full model forecastVýhra domácichTier A · 79% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra domácich79% selection probability
Projected score3–0FK MinijaFK Kauno Žalgiris ll
Expected goals3.31Otvoriť match profile
Goals 2.5Viac64% for the selected side
Oba tímy skórujúNie64% for the selected side
Expected corners10.5Viac 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýberPravdepodobnosťFérový kurz
79% / 12% / 9%Výsledok zápasuVýhra domácich79%1.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FK Kauno Žalgiris ll win (9%)Dvojitá šanca1X91%1.10
Viac 64% · Menej 36%Goals 2.5Viac64%1.56
Áno 36% · Nie 64%Oba tímy skórujúNie64%1.56
3.31 total expected goalsPresné skóre3–0
10.5 expected match cornersRohyViac 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.6%Largest probability gapFK Minija winDifference+1.0 pp
OutcomePredpoveďFérový kurzReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FK Minija win79%1.271.1878%+1.0 pp
Remíza12%8.337.5012.3%-0.3 pp
FK Kauno Žalgiris ll win9%11.119.509.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FK Minija2.83

Domáci share of expected goals 85.5%

Total expected goals3.31Otvoriť

Dedicated goals model: Viac 64% · Menej 36%

FK Kauno Žalgiris ll0.48

Hostia share of expected goals 14.5%

Projected score3–0BTTS splitÁno 36% · Nie 64%Match profileOtvoriť
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domáci-context · form sequence

FK Minija

2.40pts / match
Odohrané5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Body12

SignalDomáci unbeaten 4/5

Hostia-context · form sequence

FK Kauno Žalgiris ll

1.20pts / match
Odohrané5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Body6

SignalDomáci matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
79%
Výhra probability excluding draw
9%
12
Points from supplied form
6
2.83
Expected goals
0.48
FK MinijaFK Kauno Žalgiris ll
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FK Minija signalDomáci unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FK Kauno Žalgiris ll signalDomáci matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk21% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 12%.

Match questions

FK Minija vs FK Kauno Žalgiris ll FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra domácich · Projected score 3–0 · 79% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FK Minija výhra 79%,Remíza 12%,FK Kauno Žalgiris ll výhra 9%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.31 · Viac 2.5 64% · Current selection Viac