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LTU Lithuania 1 Lyga · Match ·

FK Minija vs FK Kauno Zalgiris II

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score3–03.30 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile79%
Nul12%
Victoire à l’extérieur9%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 79% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile79% selection probability
Projected score3–0FK MinijaFK Kauno Zalgiris II
Expected goals3.30Ouverture match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de64% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentNon64% for the selected side
Expected corners10.5Plus de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
79% / 12% / 9%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile79%1.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FK Kauno Zalgiris II win (9%)Double chance1X91%1.10
Plus de 64% · Moins de 36%Goals 2.5Plus de64%1.56
Oui 36% · Non 64%Les deux équipes marquentNon64%1.56
3.30 total expected goalsScore exact3–0
10.5 expected match cornersCornersPlus de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.6%Largest probability gapFK Minija winDifference+1.0 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FK Minija win79%1.271.1878%+1.0 pp
Nul12%8.337.5012.3%-0.3 pp
FK Kauno Zalgiris II win9%11.119.509.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FK Minija2.82

Domicile share of expected goals 85.5%

Total expected goals3.30Ouverture

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 64% · Moins de 36%

FK Kauno Zalgiris II0.48

Extérieur share of expected goals 14.5%

Projected score3–0BTTS splitOui 36% · Non 64%Match profileOuverture
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

FK Minija

2.40pts / match
Joués5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Points12

SignalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

FK Kauno Zalgiris II

1.20pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
79%
Gagné probability excluding draw
9%
12
Points from supplied form
6
2.82
Expected goals
0.48
FK MinijaFK Kauno Zalgiris II
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FK Minija signalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FK Kauno Zalgiris II signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk21% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 12%.

Match questions

FK Minija vs FK Kauno Zalgiris II FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 3–0 · 79% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FK Minija victoire 79%,Nul 12%,FK Kauno Zalgiris II victoire 9%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.30 · Plus de 2.5 64% · Current selection Plus de