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LTU Lithuania 1 Lyga · Матч ·

BFA Vilnius vs Нептунас Клайпеда

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score1–22.71 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев41%
Ничья26%
Победа гостей33%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев41% selection probability
Projected score1–2BFA VilniusНептунас Клайпеда
Expected goals2.71Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Больше51% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
41% / 26% / 33%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.7%)Двойной шанс1274.3%1.35
Больше 51% · Меньше 49%Goals 2.5Больше51%1.96
Да 55% · Нет 45%Обе забьютДа55%1.82
2.71 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–2
9.3 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.9%Largest probability gapBFA Vilnius winDifference-1.6 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
BFA Vilnius win41%2.442.1042.6%-1.6 pp
Ничья26%3.853.5025.5%+0.5 pp
Нептунас Клайпеда win33%3.032.8031.9%+1.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

BFA Vilnius1.17

Хозяева share of expected goals 43.2%

Total expected goals2.71Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Больше 51% · Меньше 49%

Нептунас Клайпеда1.54

Гости share of expected goals 56.8%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitДа 55% · Нет 45%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

BFA Vilnius

2.00pts / match
Сыграно5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Баллы10

SignalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Нептунас Клайпеда

2.00pts / match
Сыграно5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Баллы10

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
41%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
33%
10
Points from supplied form
10
1.17
Expected goals
1.54
BFA VilniusНептунас Клайпеда
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01BFA Vilnius signalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Нептунас Клайпеда signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

BFA Vilnius vs Нептунас Клайпеда FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 1–2 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

BFA Vilnius выигрыш 41%,Ничья 26%,Нептунас Клайпеда выигрыш 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.71 · ТБ 2.5 51% · Current selection Больше