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LTU リトアニア 1リーガ · 試合 ·

BFAヴィリニュス vs FKネプチューナス・クライペダ

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score1–22.72 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利41%
引き分け26%
アウェイ勝利33%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利41% selection probability
Projected score1–2BFAヴィリニュスFKネプチューナス・クライペダ
Expected goals2.72Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5オーバー51% for the selected side
両チーム得点はい55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3アンダー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
41% / 26% / 33%試合結果ホーム勝利41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.7%)ダブルチャンス1274.3%1.35
オーバー 51% · アンダー 49%Goals 2.5オーバー51%1.96
はい 55% · いいえ 45%両チーム得点はい55%1.82
2.72 total expected goals正確なスコア1–2
9.3 expected match cornersコーナーアンダー 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.9%Largest probability gapBFAヴィリニュス winDifference-1.6 pp
Outcome予想フェアオッズReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
BFAヴィリニュス win41%2.442.1042.6%-1.6 pp
引き分け26%3.853.5025.5%+0.5 pp
FKネプチューナス・クライペダ win33%3.032.8031.9%+1.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

BFAヴィリニュス1.18

ホーム share of expected goals 43.4%

Total expected goals2.72Balanced

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 51% · アンダー 49%

FKネプチューナス・クライペダ1.54

アウェイ share of expected goals 56.6%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitはい 55% · いいえ 45%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

BFAヴィリニュス

2.00pts / match
試合数5Wins3Drawn1Losses1ポイント10

Signalホーム unbeaten 4/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

FKネプチューナス・クライペダ

2.00pts / match
試合数5Wins3Drawn1Losses1ポイント10

Signalホーム matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
41%
勝ち probability excluding draw
33%
10
Points from supplied form
10
1.18
Expected goals
1.54
BFAヴィリニュスFKネプチューナス・クライペダ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01BFAヴィリニュス signalホーム unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FKネプチューナス・クライペダ signalホーム matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

BFAヴィリニュス vs FKネプチューナス・クライペダ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 1–2 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

BFAヴィリニュス 勝ち 41%,引き分け 26%,FKネプチューナス・クライペダ 勝ち 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.72 · オーバー 2.5 51% · Current selection オーバー