Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
41% / 26% / 33%Match resultHome win41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.7%)Double chance1274.3%1.35
Over 51% · Under 49%Goals 2.5Over51%1.96
Yes 55% · No 45%Both teams scoreYes55%1.82
2.70 total expected goalsCorrect score1–2——
9.3 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin11.9%Largest probability gapBFA Vilnius winDifference-1.6 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
BFA Vilnius win41%2.442.1042.6%-1.6 pp
Draw26%3.853.5025.5%+0.5 pp
FK Neptunas Klaipeda win33%3.032.8031.9%+1.1 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 43.3%
Total expected goals2.70Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Over 51% · Under 49%
Away share of expected goals 56.7%
Projected score1–2BTTS splitYes 55% · No 45%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
2.00pts / matchBFA Vilnius
DWLWW
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10
SignalHome unbeaten 4/5
Away-context · form sequence
2.00pts / matchFK Neptunas Klaipeda
LWWWD
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
41%
Win probability excluding draw
33%10
Points from supplied form
101.17
Expected goals
1.53BFA VilniusFK Neptunas Klaipeda
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 26%.
Match questions
BFA Vilnius vs FK Neptunas Klaipeda FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–2 · 41% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
BFA Vilnius win 41%，Draw 26%，FK Neptunas Klaipeda win 33%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.70 · Over 2.5 51% · Current selection Over。