MatchFormula Find a match
Menu
UTC+8
Time zoneAsia/Shanghai
English
LTU Lithuania 1 Lyga · Fixture ·

FC Hegelmann II vs FK Ekranas

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–23.93 expected goals
Away form
Home win39%
Draw25%
Away win36%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win39% selection probability
Projected score2–2FC Hegelmann IIFK Ekranas
Expected goals3.93Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over75% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes74% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
39% / 25% / 36%Match resultHome win39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.8%)Double chance1275.2%1.33
Over 75% · Under 25%Goals 2.5Over75%1.33
Yes 74% · No 26%Both teams scoreYes74%1.35
3.93 total expected goalsCorrect score2–2
10.2 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
FC Hegelmann II win39%2.56
Draw25%4.00
FK Ekranas win36%2.78

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC Hegelmann II2.02

Home share of expected goals 51.4%

Total expected goals3.93Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 75% · Under 25%

FK Ekranas1.91

Away share of expected goals 48.6%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitYes 74% · No 26%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

FC Hegelmann II

0.60pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Points3

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

FK Ekranas

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalHome failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
Win probability excluding draw
36%
3
Points from supplied form
4
2.02
Expected goals
1.91
FC Hegelmann IIFK Ekranas
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC Hegelmann II signalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FK Ekranas signalHome failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

FC Hegelmann II vs FK Ekranas FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–2 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC Hegelmann II win 39%,Draw 25%,FK Ekranas win 36%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.93 · Over 2.5 75% · Current selection Over