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LTU Lithuania 1 Lyga · Partido ·

BFA Vilnius vs FK Neptunas Klaipeda

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score1–22.72 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local41%
Empate26%
Victoria visitante33%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local41% selection probability
Projected score1–2BFA VilniusFK Neptunas Klaipeda
Expected goals2.72Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Más de51% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcan55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Menos de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
41% / 26% / 33%Resultado del partidoVictoria local41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.7%)Doble Oportunidad1274.3%1.35
Más de 51% · Menos de 49%Goals 2.5Más de51%1.96
Sí 55% · No 45%Ambos equipos marcan55%1.82
2.72 total expected goalsMarcador exacto1–2
9.3 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.9%Largest probability gapBFA Vilnius winDifference-1.6 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
BFA Vilnius win41%2.442.1042.6%-1.6 pp
Empate26%3.853.5025.5%+0.5 pp
FK Neptunas Klaipeda win33%3.032.8031.9%+1.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

BFA Vilnius1.18

Local share of expected goals 43.4%

Total expected goals2.72Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Más de 51% · Menos de 49%

FK Neptunas Klaipeda1.54

Visitante share of expected goals 56.6%

Projected score1–2BTTS split 55% · No 45%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

BFA Vilnius

2.00pts / match
Jugados5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Puntos10

SignalLocal unbeaten 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

FK Neptunas Klaipeda

2.00pts / match
Jugados5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Puntos10

SignalLocal matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
41%
Ganado probability excluding draw
33%
10
Points from supplied form
10
1.18
Expected goals
1.54
BFA VilniusFK Neptunas Klaipeda
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01BFA Vilnius signalLocal unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FK Neptunas Klaipeda signalLocal matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

BFA Vilnius vs FK Neptunas Klaipeda FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 1–2 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

BFA Vilnius ganada 41%,Empate 26%,FK Neptunas Klaipeda ganada 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.72 · Más de 2.5 51% · Current selection Más de