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INT Перу - Лига 1 · Матч ·

Атлетико Грау vs ФБК Мельгар

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score1–11.94 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев30%
Ничья33%
Победа гостей37%
Full model forecastПобеда гостейTier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда гостей37% selection probability
Projected score1–1Атлетико ГрауФБК Мельгар
Expected goals1.94Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше69% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет61% for the selected side
Expected corners8.4Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
30% / 33% / 37%Исход матчаПобеда гостей37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Атлетико Грау win (30%)Двойной шансX270%1.43
Больше 31% · Меньше 69%Goals 2.5Меньше69%1.45
Да 39% · Нет 61%Обе забьютНет61%1.64
1.94 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–1
8.4 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Нет snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедливый коэффициент
Атлетико Грау win30%3.33
Ничья33%3.03
ФБК Мельгар win37%2.70

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Атлетико Грау0.87

Хозяева share of expected goals 44.8%

Total expected goals1.94Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Больше 31% · Меньше 69%

ФБК Мельгар1.07

Гости share of expected goals 55.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 39% · Нет 61%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Атлетико Грау

1.40pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Баллы7

SignalХозяева matches under 2.5: 4/5

Гости-context · form sequence

ФБК Мельгар

1.60pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Баллы8

SignalХозяева clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
30%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
37%
7
Points from supplied form
8
0.87
Expected goals
1.07
Атлетико ГрауФБК Мельгар
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Атлетико Грау signalХозяева matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ФБК Мельгар signalХозяева clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 33%.

Match questions

Атлетико Грау vs ФБК Мельгар FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа гостей · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Атлетико Грау выигрыш 30%,Ничья 33%,ФБК Мельгар выигрыш 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.94 · ТБ 2.5 31% · Current selection Меньше