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INT Перу - Лига 1 · Матч ·

АД Тарма vs Спорт Уанкайо

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score2–13.11 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев40%
Ничья28%
Победа гостей32%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев40% selection probability
Projected score2–1АД ТармаСпорт Уанкайо
Expected goals3.11Открытие match profile
Goals 2.5Больше60% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа59% for the selected side
Expected corners9.0Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
40% / 28% / 32%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.2%)Двойной шанс1271.8%1.39
Больше 60% · Меньше 40%Goals 2.5Больше60%1.67
Да 59% · Нет 41%Обе забьютДа59%1.69
3.11 total expected goalsТочный счёт2–1
9.0 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin9.0%Largest probability gapАД Тарма winDifference+1.4 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
АД Тарма win40%2.502.3838.6%+1.4 pp
Ничья28%3.573.2028.7%-0.7 pp
Спорт Уанкайо win32%3.132.8032.8%-0.8 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

АД Тарма1.94

Хозяева share of expected goals 62.4%

Total expected goals3.11Открытие

Dedicated goals model: Больше 60% · Меньше 40%

Спорт Уанкайо1.17

Гости share of expected goals 37.6%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 59% · Нет 41%Match profileОткрытие
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

АД Тарма

0.40pts / match
Сыграно5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Баллы2

SignalХозяева matches under 2.5: 4/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Спорт Уанкайо

1.40pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Баллы7

SignalХозяева failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
32%
2
Points from supplied form
7
1.94
Expected goals
1.17
АД ТармаСпорт Уанкайо
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01АД Тарма signalХозяева matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Спорт Уанкайо signalХозяева failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

АД Тарма vs Спорт Уанкайо FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 2–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

АД Тарма выигрыш 40%,Ничья 28%,Спорт Уанкайо выигрыш 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.11 · ТБ 2.5 60% · Current selection Больше