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INT 秘魯足球甲級聯賽 · 比賽 ·

AD塔爾馬 vs 萬卡約

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

主隊 form
Projected score2–13.11 expected goals
客隊 form
主勝40%
28%
客勝32%
Full model forecast主勝Tier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary call主勝40% selection probability
Projected score2–1AD塔爾馬萬卡約
Expected goals3.11初盤 match profile
Goals 2.560% for the selected side
雙方進球59% for the selected side
Expected corners9.0小 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market投注機率公平賠率
40% / 28% / 32%比賽結果主勝40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.2%)雙重機會1271.8%1.39
大 60% · 小 40%Goals 2.560%1.67
是 59% · 否 41%雙方進球59%1.69
3.11 total expected goals正確比分2–1
9.0 expected match corners角球小 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin9.0%Largest probability gapAD塔爾馬 winDifference+1.4 pp
Outcome預測公平賠率Reference oddsNormalized marketDifference
AD塔爾馬 win40%2.502.3838.6%+1.4 pp
28%3.573.2028.7%-0.7 pp
萬卡約 win32%3.132.8032.8%-0.8 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

AD塔爾馬1.94

主隊 share of expected goals 62.4%

Total expected goals3.11初盤

Dedicated goals model: 60% · 40%

萬卡約1.17

客隊 share of expected goals 37.6%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 59% · 41%Match profile初盤
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

主隊-context · form sequence

AD塔爾馬

0.40pts / match
5Wins0Drawn2Losses3積分2

Signal主隊 matches under 2.5: 4/5

客隊-context · form sequence

萬卡約

1.40pts / match
5Wins2Drawn1Losses2積分7

Signal主隊 failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
贏 probability excluding draw
32%
2
Points from supplied form
7
1.94
Expected goals
1.17
AD塔爾馬萬卡約
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01AD塔爾馬 signal主隊 matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02萬卡約 signal主隊 failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 平 probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

AD塔爾馬 vs 萬卡約 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: 主勝 · Projected score 2–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

AD塔爾馬 40%, 28%,萬卡約 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.11 · 大2.5 60% · Current selection