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INT Pérou - Liga 1 · Match ·

AD Tarma vs Sport Huancayo

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score2–13.11 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile40%
Nul28%
Victoire à l’extérieur32%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile40% selection probability
Projected score2–1AD TarmaSport Huancayo
Expected goals3.11Ouverture match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de60% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui59% for the selected side
Expected corners9.0Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
40% / 28% / 32%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.2%)Double chance1271.8%1.39
Plus de 60% · Moins de 40%Goals 2.5Plus de60%1.67
Oui 59% · Non 41%Les deux équipes marquentOui59%1.69
3.11 total expected goalsScore exact2–1
9.0 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin9.0%Largest probability gapAD Tarma winDifference+1.4 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
AD Tarma win40%2.502.3838.6%+1.4 pp
Nul28%3.573.2028.7%-0.7 pp
Sport Huancayo win32%3.132.8032.8%-0.8 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

AD Tarma1.94

Domicile share of expected goals 62.4%

Total expected goals3.11Ouverture

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 60% · Moins de 40%

Sport Huancayo1.17

Extérieur share of expected goals 37.6%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitOui 59% · Non 41%Match profileOuverture
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

AD Tarma

0.40pts / match
Joués5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Points2

SignalDomicile matches under 2.5: 4/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Sport Huancayo

1.40pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalDomicile failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Gagné probability excluding draw
32%
2
Points from supplied form
7
1.94
Expected goals
1.17
AD TarmaSport Huancayo
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01AD Tarma signalDomicile matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sport Huancayo signalDomicile failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

AD Tarma vs Sport Huancayo FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 2–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

AD Tarma victoire 40%,Nul 28%,Sport Huancayo victoire 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.11 · Plus de 2.5 60% · Current selection Plus de