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INT Перу - Лига 1 · Матч ·

Алианза Лима vs Депортиво Гарсиласо

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score2–12.25 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев54%
Ничья28%
Победа гостей18%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 54% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев54% selection probability
Projected score2–1Алианза ЛимаДепортиво Гарсиласо
Expected goals2.25Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше61% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет63% for the selected side
Expected corners7.6Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
54% / 28% / 18%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев54%1.85
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Депортиво Гарсиласо win (17.9%)Двойной шанс1X82.1%1.22
Больше 39% · Меньше 61%Goals 2.5Меньше61%1.64
Да 37% · Нет 63%Обе забьютНет63%1.59
2.25 total expected goalsТочный счёт2–1
7.6 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Нет snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедливый коэффициент
Алианза Лима win54%1.85
Ничья28%3.57
Депортиво Гарсиласо win18%5.56

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Алианза Лима1.66

Хозяева share of expected goals 73.8%

Total expected goals2.25Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Больше 39% · Меньше 61%

Депортиво Гарсиласо0.59

Гости share of expected goals 26.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 37% · Нет 63%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Алианза Лима

1.80pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Баллы9

SignalХозяева unbeaten 5/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Депортиво Гарсиласо

2.60pts / match
Сыграно5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Баллы13

SignalГости unbeaten 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
54%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
18%
9
Points from supplied form
13
1.66
Expected goals
0.59
Алианза ЛимаДепортиво Гарсиласо
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Алианза Лима signalХозяева unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Депортиво Гарсиласо signalГости unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk46% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Алианза Лима vs Депортиво Гарсиласо FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 2–1 · 54% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Алианза Лима выигрыш 54%,Ничья 28%,Депортиво Гарсиласо выигрыш 18%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.25 · ТБ 2.5 39% · Current selection Меньше