Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
54% / 28% / 18%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst54%1.85
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Deportivo Garcilaso win (17.9%)Dubbele Kans1X82.1%1.22
Boven 39% · Onder 61%Goals 2.5Onder61%1.64
Ja 37% · Nee 63%Beide teams scorenNee63%1.59
2.25 total expected goalsExacte score2–1——
7.6 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
Nee snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityEerlijke odds
Alianza Lima win54%1.85
Gelijkspel28%3.57
Deportivo Garcilaso win18%5.56
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Thuis share of expected goals 73.8%
Total expected goals2.25Low-scoring
Dedicated goals model: Boven 39% · Onder 61%
Uit share of expected goals 26.2%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 37% · Nee 63%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Thuis-context · form sequence
1.80pts / matchAlianza Lima
DWDWD
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Punten9
SignalThuis unbeaten 5/5
Uit-context · form sequence
2.60pts / matchDeportivo Garcilaso
WDWWW
Gespeeld5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Punten13
SignalUit unbeaten 5/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
54%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
18%9
Points from supplied form
131.66
Expected goals
0.59Alianza LimaDeportivo Garcilaso
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 28%.
Match questions
Alianza Lima vs Deportivo Garcilaso FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 54% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Alianza Lima gewonnen 54%，Gelijkspel 28%，Deportivo Garcilaso gewonnen 18%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.25 · Boven 2.5 39% · Current selection Onder。