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INT ペルー リーガ1 · 試合 ·

アリアンサリマ vs デポルティーボ・ガルシラーソ

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score2–12.25 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利54%
引き分け28%
アウェイ勝利18%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 54% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利54% selection probability
Projected score2–1アリアンサリマデポルティーボ・ガルシラーソ
Expected goals2.25Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5アンダー61% for the selected side
両チーム得点いいえ63% for the selected side
Expected corners7.6アンダー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
54% / 28% / 18%試合結果ホーム勝利54%1.85
Derived from 1X2 · excludes デポルティーボ・ガルシラーソ win (17.9%)ダブルチャンス1X82.1%1.22
オーバー 39% · アンダー 61%Goals 2.5アンダー61%1.64
はい 37% · いいえ 63%両チーム得点いいえ63%1.59
2.25 total expected goals正確なスコア2–1
7.6 expected match cornersコーナーアンダー 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

いいえ snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityフェアオッズ
アリアンサリマ win54%1.85
引き分け28%3.57
デポルティーボ・ガルシラーソ win18%5.56

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

アリアンサリマ1.66

ホーム share of expected goals 73.8%

Total expected goals2.25Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 39% · アンダー 61%

デポルティーボ・ガルシラーソ0.59

アウェイ share of expected goals 26.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitはい 37% · いいえ 63%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

アリアンサリマ

1.80pts / match
試合数5Wins2Drawn3Losses0ポイント9

Signalホーム unbeaten 5/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

デポルティーボ・ガルシラーソ

2.60pts / match
試合数5Wins4Drawn1Losses0ポイント13

Signalアウェイ unbeaten 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
54%
勝ち probability excluding draw
18%
9
Points from supplied form
13
1.66
Expected goals
0.59
アリアンサリマデポルティーボ・ガルシラーソ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01アリアンサリマ signalホーム unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02デポルティーボ・ガルシラーソ signalアウェイ unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk46% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

アリアンサリマ vs デポルティーボ・ガルシラーソ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 2–1 · 54% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

アリアンサリマ 勝ち 54%,引き分け 28%,デポルティーボ・ガルシラーソ 勝ち 18%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.25 · オーバー 2.5 39% · Current selection アンダー