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INT ペルー リーガ1 · 試合 ·

デポルティーボ・モケグア vs アリアンサ・アトレティコ

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score1–11.84 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利38%
引き分け31%
アウェイ勝利31%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利38% selection probability
Projected score1–1デポルティーボ・モケグアアリアンサ・アトレティコ
Expected goals1.84Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5アンダー72% for the selected side
両チーム得点いいえ64% for the selected side
Expected corners8.5アンダー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
38% / 31% / 31%試合結果ホーム勝利38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes アリアンサ・アトレティコ win (30.6%)ダブルチャンス1X69.4%1.44
オーバー 28% · アンダー 72%Goals 2.5アンダー72%1.39
はい 36% · いいえ 64%両チーム得点いいえ64%1.56
1.84 total expected goals正確なスコア1–1
8.5 expected match cornersコーナーアンダー 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.3%Largest probability gapデポルティーボ・モケグア winDifference-0.5 pp
Outcome予想フェアオッズReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
デポルティーボ・モケグア win38%2.632.4038.5%-0.5 pp
引き分け31%3.233.0030.8%+0.2 pp
アリアンサ・アトレティコ win31%3.233.0030.8%+0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

デポルティーボ・モケグア1.00

ホーム share of expected goals 54.3%

Total expected goals1.84Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 28% · アンダー 72%

アリアンサ・アトレティコ0.84

アウェイ share of expected goals 45.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitはい 36% · いいえ 64%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

デポルティーボ・モケグア

1.20pts / match
試合数5Wins1Drawn3Losses1ポイント6

Signalホーム unbeaten 4/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

アリアンサ・アトレティコ

1.60pts / match
試合数5Wins2Drawn2Losses1ポイント8

Signalホーム matches under 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
勝ち probability excluding draw
31%
6
Points from supplied form
8
1.00
Expected goals
0.84
デポルティーボ・モケグアアリアンサ・アトレティコ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01デポルティーボ・モケグア signalホーム unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02アリアンサ・アトレティコ signalホーム matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

デポルティーボ・モケグア vs アリアンサ・アトレティコ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

デポルティーボ・モケグア 勝ち 38%,引き分け 31%,アリアンサ・アトレティコ 勝ち 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.84 · オーバー 2.5 28% · Current selection アンダー