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INT Peru Liga 1 · Maç ·

Deportivo Moquegua vs Alianza Atletico

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Ev Sahibi form
Projected score1–11.84 expected goals
Deplasman form
Ev sahibi kazanır38%
Beraberlik31%
Deplasman kazanır31%
Full model forecastEv sahibi kazanırTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callEv sahibi kazanır38% selection probability
Projected score1–1Deportivo MoqueguaAlianza Atletico
Expected goals1.84Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Alt72% for the selected side
Karşılıklı gol varHayır64% for the selected side
Expected corners8.5Alt 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeçimOlasılıkAdil oran
38% / 31% / 31%Maç sonucuEv sahibi kazanır38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Alianza Atletico win (30.6%)Çifte Şans1X69.4%1.44
Üst 28% · Alt 72%Goals 2.5Alt72%1.39
Evet 36% · Hayır 64%Karşılıklı gol varHayır64%1.56
1.84 total expected goalsDoğru skor1–1
8.5 expected match cornersKornerlerAlt 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.3%Largest probability gapDeportivo Moquegua winDifference-0.5 pp
OutcomeTahminAdil oranReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Deportivo Moquegua win38%2.632.4038.5%-0.5 pp
Beraberlik31%3.233.0030.8%+0.2 pp
Alianza Atletico win31%3.233.0030.8%+0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Deportivo Moquegua1.00

Ev Sahibi share of expected goals 54.3%

Total expected goals1.84Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Üst 28% · Alt 72%

Alianza Atletico0.84

Deplasman share of expected goals 45.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitEvet 36% · Hayır 64%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Ev Sahibi-context · form sequence

Deportivo Moquegua

1.20pts / match
Oynanan5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Puan6

SignalEv Sahibi unbeaten 4/5

Deplasman-context · form sequence

Alianza Atletico

1.60pts / match
Oynanan5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Puan8

SignalEv Sahibi matches under 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
Kazanç probability excluding draw
31%
6
Points from supplied form
8
1.00
Expected goals
0.84
Deportivo MoqueguaAlianza Atletico
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Deportivo Moquegua signalEv Sahibi unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Alianza Atletico signalEv Sahibi matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Beraberlik probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

Deportivo Moquegua vs Alianza Atletico FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Ev sahibi kazanır · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Deportivo Moquegua kazanç 38%,Beraberlik 31%,Alianza Atletico kazanç 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.84 · 2.5 Üst 28% · Current selection Alt