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INT Peru Liga 1 · Maç ·

UTC Cajamarca vs Universitario de Deportes

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Ev Sahibi form
Projected score1–12.28 expected goals
Deplasman form
Ev sahibi kazanır27%
Beraberlik30%
Deplasman kazanır43%
Full model forecastDeplasman kazanırTier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callDeplasman kazanır43% selection probability
Projected score1–1UTC CajamarcaUniversitario de Deportes
Expected goals2.28Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Alt60% for the selected side
Karşılıklı gol varHayır55% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Alt 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeçimOlasılıkAdil oran
27% / 30% / 43%Maç sonucuDeplasman kazanır43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes UTC Cajamarca win (26.6%)Çifte ŞansX273.4%1.36
Üst 40% · Alt 60%Goals 2.5Alt60%1.67
Evet 45% · Hayır 55%Karşılıklı gol varHayır55%1.82
2.28 total expected goalsDoğru skor1–1
8.7 expected match cornersKornerlerAlt 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Hayır snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityAdil oran
UTC Cajamarca win27%3.70
Beraberlik30%3.33
Universitario de Deportes win43%2.33

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

UTC Cajamarca0.89

Ev Sahibi share of expected goals 39%

Total expected goals2.28Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Üst 40% · Alt 60%

Universitario de Deportes1.39

Deplasman share of expected goals 61%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitEvet 45% · Hayır 55%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Ev Sahibi-context · form sequence

UTC Cajamarca

0.40pts / match
Oynanan5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Puan2

SignalDeplasman unbeaten 4/5

Deplasman-context · form sequence

Universitario de Deportes

2.00pts / match
Oynanan5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Puan10

SignalDeplasman matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
27%
Kazanç probability excluding draw
43%
2
Points from supplied form
10
0.89
Expected goals
1.39
UTC CajamarcaUniversitario de Deportes
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01UTC Cajamarca signalDeplasman unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Universitario de Deportes signalDeplasman matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Beraberlik probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

UTC Cajamarca vs Universitario de Deportes FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Deplasman kazanır · Projected score 1–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

UTC Cajamarca kazanç 27%,Beraberlik 30%,Universitario de Deportes kazanç 43%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.28 · 2.5 Üst 40% · Current selection Alt