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INT Peru - Liga 1 · Spiel ·

UTC Cajamarca vs Universitario de Deportes

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score1–12.28 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg27%
Unentschieden30%
Auswärtssieg43%
Full model forecastAuswärtssiegTier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAuswärtssieg43% selection probability
Projected score1–1UTC CajamarcaUniversitario de Deportes
Expected goals2.28Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Unter60% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenNein55% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
27% / 30% / 43%SpielergebnisAuswärtssieg43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes UTC Cajamarca win (26.6%)Doppelte ChanceX273.4%1.36
Über 40% · Unter 60%Goals 2.5Unter60%1.67
Ja 45% · Nein 55%Beide Teams treffenNein55%1.82
2.28 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis1–1
8.7 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nein snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFaire Quote
UTC Cajamarca win27%3.70
Unentschieden30%3.33
Universitario de Deportes win43%2.33

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

UTC Cajamarca0.89

Heim share of expected goals 39%

Total expected goals2.28Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Über 40% · Unter 60%

Universitario de Deportes1.39

Auswärts share of expected goals 61%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 45% · Nein 55%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

UTC Cajamarca

0.40pts / match
Gespielt5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Punkte2

SignalAuswärts unbeaten 4/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Universitario de Deportes

2.00pts / match
Gespielt5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punkte10

SignalAuswärts matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
27%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
43%
2
Points from supplied form
10
0.89
Expected goals
1.39
UTC CajamarcaUniversitario de Deportes
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01UTC Cajamarca signalAuswärts unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Universitario de Deportes signalAuswärts matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

UTC Cajamarca vs Universitario de Deportes FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Auswärtssieg · Projected score 1–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

UTC Cajamarca Gewinn 27%,Unentschieden 30%,Universitario de Deportes Gewinn 43%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.28 · Über 2.5 40% · Current selection Unter