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INT Peru - Liga 1 · Zápas ·

UTC Cajamarca vs Universitario de Deportes

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domáci form
Projected score1–12.28 expected goals
Hostia form
Výhra domácich27%
Remíza30%
Výhra hostí43%
Full model forecastVýhra hostíTier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra hostí43% selection probability
Projected score1–1UTC CajamarcaUniversitario de Deportes
Expected goals2.28Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Menej60% for the selected side
Oba tímy skórujúNie55% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Menej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýberPravdepodobnosťFérový kurz
27% / 30% / 43%Výsledok zápasuVýhra hostí43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes UTC Cajamarca win (26.6%)Dvojitá šancaX273.4%1.36
Viac 40% · Menej 60%Goals 2.5Menej60%1.67
Áno 45% · Nie 55%Oba tímy skórujúNie55%1.82
2.28 total expected goalsPresné skóre1–1
8.7 expected match cornersRohyMenej 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nie snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFérový kurz
UTC Cajamarca win27%3.70
Remíza30%3.33
Universitario de Deportes win43%2.33

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

UTC Cajamarca0.89

Domáci share of expected goals 39%

Total expected goals2.28Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Viac 40% · Menej 60%

Universitario de Deportes1.39

Hostia share of expected goals 61%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitÁno 45% · Nie 55%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domáci-context · form sequence

UTC Cajamarca

0.40pts / match
Odohrané5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Body2

SignalHostia unbeaten 4/5

Hostia-context · form sequence

Universitario de Deportes

2.00pts / match
Odohrané5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Body10

SignalHostia matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
27%
Výhra probability excluding draw
43%
2
Points from supplied form
10
0.89
Expected goals
1.39
UTC CajamarcaUniversitario de Deportes
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01UTC Cajamarca signalHostia unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Universitario de Deportes signalHostia matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

UTC Cajamarca vs Universitario de Deportes FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra hostí · Projected score 1–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

UTC Cajamarca výhra 27%,Remíza 30%,Universitario de Deportes výhra 43%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.28 · Viac 2.5 40% · Current selection Menej