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INT Peru - Liga 1 · Match ·

UTC Cajamarca vs Universitario de Deportes

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score1–12.28 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger27%
Oavgjort30%
Bortaseger43%
Full model forecastBortasegerTier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callBortaseger43% selection probability
Projected score1–1UTC CajamarcaUniversitario de Deportes
Expected goals2.28Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under60% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målNej55% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
27% / 30% / 43%MatchresultatBortaseger43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes UTC Cajamarca win (26.6%)DubbelchansX273.4%1.36
Över 40% · Under 60%Goals 2.5Under60%1.67
Ja 45% · Nej 55%Båda lagen gör målNej55%1.82
2.28 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
8.7 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityRättvist odds
UTC Cajamarca win27%3.70
Oavgjort30%3.33
Universitario de Deportes win43%2.33

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

UTC Cajamarca0.89

Hemma share of expected goals 39%

Total expected goals2.28Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Över 40% · Under 60%

Universitario de Deportes1.39

Borta share of expected goals 61%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 45% · Nej 55%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

UTC Cajamarca

0.40pts / match
Spelade5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Poäng2

SignalBorta unbeaten 4/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Universitario de Deportes

2.00pts / match
Spelade5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Poäng10

SignalBorta matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
27%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
43%
2
Points from supplied form
10
0.89
Expected goals
1.39
UTC CajamarcaUniversitario de Deportes
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01UTC Cajamarca signalBorta unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Universitario de Deportes signalBorta matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

UTC Cajamarca vs Universitario de Deportes FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Bortaseger · Projected score 1–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

UTC Cajamarca vunnen 27%,Oavgjort 30%,Universitario de Deportes vunnen 43%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.28 · Över 2.5 40% · Current selection Under