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INT Perú - Liga 1 · Partido ·

Deportivo Moquegua vs Alianza Atletico

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score1–11.84 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local38%
Empate31%
Victoria visitante31%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local38% selection probability
Projected score1–1Deportivo MoqueguaAlianza Atletico
Expected goals1.84Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Menos de72% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcanNo64% for the selected side
Expected corners8.5Menos de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
38% / 31% / 31%Resultado del partidoVictoria local38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Alianza Atletico win (30.6%)Doble Oportunidad1X69.4%1.44
Más de 28% · Menos de 72%Goals 2.5Menos de72%1.39
Sí 36% · No 64%Ambos equipos marcanNo64%1.56
1.84 total expected goalsMarcador exacto1–1
8.5 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.3%Largest probability gapDeportivo Moquegua winDifference-0.5 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Deportivo Moquegua win38%2.632.4038.5%-0.5 pp
Empate31%3.233.0030.8%+0.2 pp
Alianza Atletico win31%3.233.0030.8%+0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Deportivo Moquegua1.00

Local share of expected goals 54.3%

Total expected goals1.84Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Más de 28% · Menos de 72%

Alianza Atletico0.84

Visitante share of expected goals 45.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 36% · No 64%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Deportivo Moquegua

1.20pts / match
Jugados5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Puntos6

SignalLocal unbeaten 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Alianza Atletico

1.60pts / match
Jugados5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Puntos8

SignalLocal matches under 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
Ganado probability excluding draw
31%
6
Points from supplied form
8
1.00
Expected goals
0.84
Deportivo MoqueguaAlianza Atletico
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Deportivo Moquegua signalLocal unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Alianza Atletico signalLocal matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

Deportivo Moquegua vs Alianza Atletico FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Deportivo Moquegua ganada 38%,Empate 31%,Alianza Atletico ganada 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.84 · Más de 2.5 28% · Current selection Menos de