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INT Перу - Лига 1 · Мач ·

Алианца Лима vs Депортиво Гарсиласо

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score2–12.25 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина54%
Равен28%
Победа за госта18%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 54% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина54% selection probability
Projected score2–1Алианца ЛимаДепортиво Гарсиласо
Expected goals2.25Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Под61% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатНе63% for the selected side
Expected corners7.6Под 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
54% / 28% / 18%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина54%1.85
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Депортиво Гарсиласо win (17.9%)Двоен шанс1X82.1%1.22
Над 39% · Под 61%Goals 2.5Под61%1.64
Да 37% · Не 63%И двата отбора да отбележатНе63%1.59
2.25 total expected goalsТочен резултат2–1
7.6 expected match cornersКорнериПод 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Не snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедлив коефициент
Алианца Лима win54%1.85
Равен28%3.57
Депортиво Гарсиласо win18%5.56

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Алианца Лима1.66

Домакин share of expected goals 73.8%

Total expected goals2.25Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Над 39% · Под 61%

Депортиво Гарсиласо0.59

Гост share of expected goals 26.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 37% · Не 63%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Алианца Лима

1.80pts / match
Изиграни5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Точки9

SignalДомакин unbeaten 5/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Депортиво Гарсиласо

2.60pts / match
Изиграни5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Точки13

SignalГост unbeaten 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
54%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
18%
9
Points from supplied form
13
1.66
Expected goals
0.59
Алианца ЛимаДепортиво Гарсиласо
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Алианца Лима signalДомакин unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Депортиво Гарсиласо signalГост unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk46% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Алианца Лима vs Депортиво Гарсиласо FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 2–1 · 54% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Алианца Лима печеливш 54%,Равен 28%,Депортиво Гарсиласо печеливш 18%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.25 · Над 2.5 39% · Current selection Под