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INT Peru - Liga 1 · Meci ·

Atletico Grau vs FBC Melgar

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score1–11.94 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde30%
Egal33%
Victorie oaspeți37%
Full model forecastVictorie oaspețiTier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie oaspeți37% selection probability
Projected score1–1Atletico GrauFBC Melgar
Expected goals1.94Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Sub69% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăNu61% for the selected side
Expected corners8.4Sub 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
30% / 33% / 37%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie oaspeți37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Atletico Grau win (30%)Șansă dublăX270%1.43
Peste 31% · Sub 69%Goals 2.5Sub69%1.45
Da 39% · Nu 61%Ambele echipe marcheazăNu61%1.64
1.94 total expected goalsScor corect1–1
8.4 expected match cornersCornereSub 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nu snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCotă corectă
Atletico Grau win30%3.33
Egal33%3.03
FBC Melgar win37%2.70

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Atletico Grau0.87

Gazde share of expected goals 44.8%

Total expected goals1.94Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Peste 31% · Sub 69%

FBC Melgar1.07

Oaspeți share of expected goals 55.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitDa 39% · Nu 61%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

Atletico Grau

1.40pts / match
Jucate5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Puncte7

SignalGazde matches under 2.5: 4/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

FBC Melgar

1.60pts / match
Jucate5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Puncte8

SignalGazde clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
30%
Câștig probability excluding draw
37%
7
Points from supplied form
8
0.87
Expected goals
1.07
Atletico GrauFBC Melgar
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Atletico Grau signalGazde matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FBC Melgar signalGazde clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 33%.

Match questions

Atletico Grau vs FBC Melgar FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie oaspeți · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Atletico Grau câștig 30%,Egal 33%,FBC Melgar câștig 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.94 · Peste 2.5 31% · Current selection Sub