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INT Peru - Liga 1 · Spiel ·

Atletico Grau vs FBC Melgar

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score1–11.94 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg30%
Unentschieden33%
Auswärtssieg37%
Full model forecastAuswärtssiegTier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAuswärtssieg37% selection probability
Projected score1–1Atletico GrauFBC Melgar
Expected goals1.94Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Unter69% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenNein61% for the selected side
Expected corners8.4Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
30% / 33% / 37%SpielergebnisAuswärtssieg37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Atletico Grau win (30%)Doppelte ChanceX270%1.43
Über 31% · Unter 69%Goals 2.5Unter69%1.45
Ja 39% · Nein 61%Beide Teams treffenNein61%1.64
1.94 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis1–1
8.4 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nein snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFaire Quote
Atletico Grau win30%3.33
Unentschieden33%3.03
FBC Melgar win37%2.70

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Atletico Grau0.87

Heim share of expected goals 44.8%

Total expected goals1.94Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Über 31% · Unter 69%

FBC Melgar1.07

Auswärts share of expected goals 55.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 39% · Nein 61%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Atletico Grau

1.40pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punkte7

SignalHeim matches under 2.5: 4/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

FBC Melgar

1.60pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punkte8

SignalHeim clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
30%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
37%
7
Points from supplied form
8
0.87
Expected goals
1.07
Atletico GrauFBC Melgar
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Atletico Grau signalHeim matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FBC Melgar signalHeim clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 33%.

Match questions

Atletico Grau vs FBC Melgar FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Auswärtssieg · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Atletico Grau Gewinn 30%,Unentschieden 33%,FBC Melgar Gewinn 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.94 · Über 2.5 31% · Current selection Unter